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David Silver: Abandon Human Data, Achieve Superintelligence Within Three Years

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David Silver, lead programmer of AlphaGo and co-founder of Ineffable Intelligence, proposed in a Sequoia Capital podcast interview that we should abandon the strong priors brought by trillion-scale human knowledge datasets and instead take the superlearner route, and gave two predictions: strong evidence that this route is feasible within one year, and superintelligence within three years. He shortened his original estimate of three to five years to three years, citing the acceleration of research by coding agents as the reason. By his definition, superintelligence is a system capable of autonomously discovering knowledge far beyond the known human level in all fields such as science, mathematics, technology, and language. Silver acknowledged that these ideas are still at a stage requiring extensive research.

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  1. AlphaGo lead programmer David Silver: Abandon human data, achieve superintelligence within three years

    On the Sequoia Capital podcast Training Data, David Silver, lead programmer of AlphaGo and co-founder of Ineffable Intelligence, spoke with Lasse Espeholt. Silver gave two new predictions: strong evidence within one year that the superlearner approach is viable, and superintelligence within three years, more aggressive than his original estimate of three to five years.

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